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Discussion papers
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2019-199
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2019-199
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Submitted as: data description paper 04 Nov 2019

Submitted as: data description paper | 04 Nov 2019

Review status
This discussion paper is a preprint. It is a manuscript under review for the journal Earth System Science Data (ESSD).

European anthropogenic AFOLU emissions and their uncertainties: a review and benchmark data

Ana Maria Roxana Petrescu1, Glen P. Peters2, Greet Janssens-Maenhout3, Philippe Ciais4, Francesco N. Tubiello5, Giacomo Grassi3, Gert-Jan Nabuurs6, Adrian Leip3, Gema Carmona-Garcia3, Wilfried Winiwarter7,8, Lena Höglund-Isaksson7, Dirk Günther9, Efisio Solazzo3, Anja Kiesow9, Ana Bastos10, Julia Pongratz10,11, Julia E. M. S. Nabel11, Giulia Conchedda5, Roberto Pilli3, Robbie M. Andrew2, Mart-Jan Schelhaas6, and Han Dolman1 Ana Maria Roxana Petrescu et al.
  • 1Department of Earth and Life Sciences, Faculty of Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
  • 2Center for International Climate ResearchCICERO, Oslo, 0349, Norway
  • 3European Commission, Joint Research Centre EC-JRC, Ispra, 21027, Italy
  • 4Le Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement LSCE, Gif sur Yvette Cedex, 91191, France
  • 5Food and Agriculture Organization FAO, Statistics Division, Rome, 00153, Italy
  • 6Wageningen University WUR, Wageningen, 6708PB, the Netherlands
  • 7International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis IIASA, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
  • 8Institute of Environmental Engineering, University of Zielona Góra, Zielona Góra, 65-417, Poland
  • 9Umweltbundesamt UBA, Berlin, 14193, Germany
  • 10Departent of Geography, Ludwig-Maximilians-University of Munich, Munich, 80333, Germany
  • 11Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, 20146,Hamburg, Germany

Abstract. Emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) and removals from land, including both anthropogenic and natural fluxes, require reliable quantification, along with estimates of their inherent uncertainties, in order to support credible mitigation action under the Paris Agreement. This study provides a state-of-the-art scientific overview of bottom-up anthropogenic emissions data from agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU) in Europe. The data integrates recent AFOLU emission inventories with ecosystem data and land carbon models, covering the European Union (EU28) and summarizes GHG emissions and removals over the period 1990–2016, of relevance for UNFCCC. This compilation of bottom-up estimates of the AFOLU GHG emissions of European national greenhouse gas inventories (NGHGI) with those of land carbon models and observation-based estimates of large-scale GHG fluxes, aims at improving the overall estimates of the GHG balance in Europe with respect to land GHG emissions and removals. Particular effort is devoted to the estimation of uncertainty, its propagation and role in the comparison of different estimates. While NGHGI data for EU28 provides consistent quantification of uncertainty following the established IPCC guidelines, uncertainty in the estimates produced with other methods will need to account for both within model uncertainty and the spread from different model results. At EU28 level, the largest inconsistencies between estimates are mainly due to different sources of data related to human activity which result in emissions or removals taking place during a given period of time (IPCC 2006) referred here as activity data (AD) and methodologies (Tiers) used for calculating emissions/removals from AFOLU sectors. The referenced datasets related to figures are visualised at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3460311, Petrescu et al., 2019.

Ana Maria Roxana Petrescu et al.
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European anthropogenic AFOLU emissions and their uncertainties: a review and benchmark data, version 1 A. M. R. Petrescu, A. J. Dolman, G. P. Peters, G. Janssens-Maenhout, P. Ciais, F. N. Tubiello, G. Grassi, G.-J. Nabuurs, A. Leip, G. Carmona-Garcia, W. Winiwarter, L. Höglund-Isaksson, D. Günther, E. Solazzo, A. Kiesow, A. Bastos, J. Pongratz, G. Conchedda, R. Pilli, J. Nabel, R. M. Andrew, and M.-J. Schelhaas https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3460311

Ana Maria Roxana Petrescu et al.
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Short summary
This study is topical and provides a state-of-the-art scientific overview of data availability from bottom-up GHG anthropogenic emissions from agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU) in EU28. The data integrates recent AFOLU emission inventories with ecosystem data and land carbon models, aiming at reconciling GHG budgets with official country-level UNFCCC inventories. We provide comprehensive emission assessments in support to policy, facilitating real-time verification procedures.
This study is topical and provides a state-of-the-art scientific overview of data availability...
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